A recent poll from CNN and Time Magazine says Kentucky’s U.S. Senate race is tied, with Democrat Jack Conway and Republican Rand Paul each holding 46% of the vote.
“Not surprisingly, Paul is winning among conservatives by more than 40 points,” says CNN Polling Director Keating Holland. “But Conway has a 22-point advantage among moderates.”
Paul holds an 11 point advantage among independent voters, according to the survey.
This poll comes after a recent round of surveys from various sources gave Paul an average lead of about 8 points. CN2 has a roundup of those numbers.
2 comments
September 9, 2010 at 12:38 pm
JKD
Even CNN/Time’s own RealClearPolitics dismisses the CNN/Time poll as ‘an outlier even among registered voter polls’ (most polls this close to the primary look at ‘likely voters’ to give more accurate predictions.)
SUSA and Rasmussen BOTH found Rand Paul to have a 15 point lead, and RealClearPolitics gives the poll average at an 8.8 point lead to Rand Paul.
http://realclearpolitics.blogs.time.com/2010/09/09/what-yesterdays-polls-told-us/
September 9, 2010 at 1:37 pm
Steve Magruder
September is when most voters start really paying attention to the election. September polls are far more accurate than August ones. But we’ll see what happens.