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Jack Conway says he leads Daniel Mongiardo among people who know both candidates. Is Conway suffering from a lack of recognition outside of Louisville?

And what about Rand Paul leading Trey Grayson? It seems like Grayson’s supporters have taken steps to get voters more acquainted with Paul’s alleged platform in hopes that some libertarian-like ideals won’t appeal to social conservatives.

You’ve probably heard about the latest Survey USA Senate poll that has Rand Paul leading Trey Grayson and Daniel Mongriardo with a double-digit over Jack Conway. Well, Conway has another poll he’s citing to show that he’s not out of the race.

But what will this mean for the Senate race? I imagine Grayson will continue his slight lean to the right and I wonder if Conway is thinking of using those infamous Mongiardo tapes in some upcoming ads. Maybe he’s regretting not doing so already.

Wendy Macy is at it again. The rabid Randite has a Q&A with her favorite candidate about mountaintop removal. In the video, Paul says there’s a lack of flat surfaces in Eastern Kentucky for schools, development and elk. (Because elk apparently cannot survive in nature without human intervention). So, removing the pointy parts of mountains makes room for nature and schools. This is a point he seems to agree with Democratic Senate candidate Daniel Mongiardo on. Mongiardo reportedly said it’s not mountaintop removal, but mountaintop development.

You can see Paul chat with Macy in the video below. They are in different areas, which makes me wonder if Paul didn’t just shoot this without Macy anywhere in sight. Are they in cahoots since her “This Rand is Your Rand” video got the campaign’s attention?

Also, watch for the part when Rand Paul checks for contaminants in water by touching it with his hands.

Mysterious YouTube user SenRace2010 has released his (or her) second compilation of apparently secret recordings of Lt. Governor Daniel Mongiardo. Mongiardo seems to be bashing Governor Steve Beshear again.

Beshear will be on State of Affairs today. Will he dismiss the recordings as more “pranksterism?” We’ll know at 1:00.

I imagine someone at Jack Conway headquarters is already putting together a TV ad with these clips.

Last week, Mayor Jerry Abramson reiterated his support for Conway’s Senate bid. Abramson’s 2011 running mate Beshear has endorsed Mongiardo.

I was out yesterday, but here are a few quick updates on what I missed.

First: Greg Fischer and Jim King topped a fifth of a million in fundraising and Chris Thieneman hasn’t filed to raise money yet. Link.

Second: Rasmussen’s latest poll gives Jack Conway a better chance than Daniel Mongiardo at winning the general election. Link. But the real question with Conway/Mongiardo is who had the better use of “S.O.B.” in the news? Conway’s was loud and proud at Fancy Farm, but Mongiardo’s was secretive and stinging.

What should we call the Mongiardo recordings? Audiogate? Mongiardo Tapes?

Whatever you call the leaked recordings, The Hill is talking about them.

Sources close to both men say the frustrations expressed in the tapes are real, and that Mongiardo has frequently been critical of Beshear’s decision to hand policy portfolios to different Cabinet departments. Both camps have downplayed the tapes, with Mongiardo’s campaign calling them doctored and Beshear telling Kentucky Public Radio that they were no more than “political prankstership.”

But Beshear’s office is livid that the remarks have come to light, though it has decided to play nice. Talk at the Tuesday fundraiser was dominated by Mongiardo’s comments, with some Beshear loyalists even saying the lieutenant governor should be asked to resign.

Have we all heard the now-infamous recording of Lt. Gov. and Senate candidate Daniel Mongiardo bashing Gov. Steve Beshear? (If you haven’t, listen here)

Beshear dismissed the first clip as chicanery, but this second recording may be harder to brush off.

The clips are posted under two different YouTube accounts and are (as of 11:15 Wednesday) the only videos posted.

The first clip is posted by user senrace2010. The next video is posted by kentuckyfight10.

Both accounts were created on September 18th. Kentucky Fight was also the name Rand Paul supporters gave to their last money bomb. The video on the Kentucky Fight homepage, though, is posted by YouTube user LastStandingGround.

Why would a Republican candidate’s supporters push damning information about a financially-weak Democratic candidate during the primary? Perhaps this isn’t the work of Paul and the username kentuckyfight10 is a coincidence or inspired by the money bomb.  Perhaps this person knows Tjenkins106.

What happens if Beshear gets fed up with Mongiardo over this? If Mongiardo steps down, will Jerry Abramson get to start his dream job as Lieutenant Governor early?

I wonder, though, who recorded these comments.

Ah, late summer. The kids are back in school and pollsters have cracked open their new Five-Stars in anticipation of another campaign.

WHAS and Survey USA teamed up for the first poll of the 2010 Senate race. Here are the results, from WHAS.

The WHAS11 Survey USA poll of Kentuckians over the last three days shows[Lieutenant Governor Daniel] Mongiardo with an 8 point advantage [over Attorney General Jack Conway], 39% to 31%, a lead that Mongiardo will certainly trumpet in his fundraising efforts.

[edit]

For the republicans, Secretary of State Trey Grayson has been considered the presumptive nominee.

But, Bowling Green ophthalmologist Rand Paul is a wild card…

So far, Grayson leads 37% to 26% despite the 11 point lead, that’s a strong early showing for the relatively unknown eye doctor.

That is indeed a strong showing for Rand Paul. His money bomb is in two days. That could be another surprisingly strong showing for the son of Congressman Ron Paul, who’s like the Alfred Nobel of money bombs.

We all have probably seen Stephen Colbert’s take on Attorney General Jack Conway’s declaration that he’s a tough SOB, but Joe Gerth writes about another Conway video. This one criticizes Conway for not being tough and for apparently changing his hair color.

The Mongiardo campaign says they have nothing to do with the video, but I’m not ruling out the fact that this isn’t an act of political hackery. Here are the stats on user tjenkins106:

Channel Views:68
Age:30
Joined:August 06, 2009
Last Sign In:3 hours ago
Videos Watched:0
Subscribers:0
Country:United States

A user with one video, registered yesterday who hasn’t watched anything while logged in? Looks like this account was created specifically for this video. Those stats don’t mesh with the average YouTube prankster. To say a politico did it would be speculation, but the evidence indicates that the author is either a newcomer to YouTube or created a new account to post this video apart from his or her other work.

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