How might the rural/urban divide play out this November? MSNBC says the differences between rural and urban interests will be most noticeable in the House.

As it turns out, much of the competitive House battlefield is in mostly white and mostly rural congressional districts. And President Obama’s numbers aren’t strong here: According to our most recent NBC/WSJ poll, just 36% of whites and 31% of rural Americans approved of the president’s job (By the way, those numbers are about where George W. Bush was with whites from 2006 through 2008).

While many close Senate races are in more urban states, Kentucky’s contest between Republican Rand Paul and Democrat Jack Conway will likely showcase the same divide as many House races. Despite gains in the polls, Conway will need a rural push to ensure victory. That push could come from his former opponent, Lt. Gov. Dan Mongiardo, who isn’t yet planning to ask his rural supporters to back Conway.