The latest WHAS11/Courier-Journal Bluegrass Poll shows a tight race in the 3rd Congressional District. Incumbent Democrat John Yarmuth has a 2-point lead over Republican Todd Lally. The poll gives Yarmuth 47% and Lally 45% with 5% of voters undecided and a 4.3% margin of error. It’s a statistical dead heat. (Libertarian Ed Martin and independent Michael Hansen each have 1%.)
WHAS-11 says Lally is hoping for national support, now that a poll shows he’s a viable candidate, but Yarmuth isn’t so sure.
And this jolt of credibility to Lally’s campaign could prompt the Republican National Campaign Committee to jump off the sidelines and invest in the campaign.
“We’ve been hard as a newcomer to politics to raise some of the money that we need,” Lally acknowledged, “This will energize our base. We will be able to make some very pointed calls and raise money very fast now.”
“The Republicans have a lot less money to spend,” Yarmuth continued, “and I don’t think that on the basis of this one poll that they are all of a sudden going to elevate this to a high priority race. I just can’t see that happening.”
Perhaps surprisingly, Lally leads Yarmuth among 18-49 year-olds, but Yarmuth has the edge with those over 50.